Population Trends - Tanzania - Bureau Of The Census

Population Trends - Tanzania - Bureau Of The Census - 1995

U.S. Department of Commerce

Economics and Statistics Administration

BUREAU OF THE CENSUS

Tanzania

PPT/92-10

Issued September 1995

Contraceptive prevalence

Figure 1.

doubled in Tanzania in a little

Population of Tanzania by Age and Sex: 1995 and 2010

1995

over 2 years, a sign that the

2010

Male

Female

Tanzania family planning pro-

80+

gram is making progress.

75–79

High levels of HIV/AIDS infec-

70–74

65–69

tion are projected to have a

60–64

significant demographic impact.

55–59

As a result of AIDS mortality,

50–54

the projected population in 2010

45–49

is 8 million fewer than it would

40–44

35–39

have been otherwise.

30–34

Fertility is declining but is still so

25–29

20–24

high that Tanzania’s population,

15–19

which is very young (figure 1),

10–14

will grow from 28.6 million today

5–9

to 35.4 million in 2010 despite

0–4

the effects of AIDS.

Mortality and HIV/AIDS

Millions

As in a number of other Sub-

Tanzania National AIDS Control

Saharan African countries, HIV/

As shown below, the projected

Program (NACP) expects nearly

AIDS infection levels in Tanzania

demographic impacts of the HIV/

2.4 million people to be HIV in-

are very high. Although the infor-

AIDS epidemic are already evident

fected and 800,000 people to

mation is incomplete and of vary-

in 1995 and will become more pro-

have AIDS. (TMOH,1994).

ing reliability, data collected in

nounced by 2010.

various parts of the country among

different population groups indicate

the severity of the problem. Infec-

1985

1995

2010

tion rates among high-risk groups

Population (in millions)

such as commercial sex workers

With AIDS mortality

21.6

28.6

35.4

have been reported at levels of 42

No AIDS mortality

21.6

29.5

43.9

to 50 percent in the capital city of

Expectation of life at birth (in years)

Dar es Salaam. Even among low-

With AIDS mortality

49.2

42.5

35.3

risk groups, such as women tested

No AIDS mortality

49.2

53.8

60.7

in antenatal clinics, infection rates

Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 births)

of 14 to 16 percent are reported in

With AIDS mortality

118

109

Dar es Salaam. Other studies in-

No AIDS mortality

118

dicate that 10 to 15 percent of

women attending antenatal clinics

Crude death rate (per 1,000 persons)

in several other cities and towns

With AIDS mortality

17.0

19.5

25.2

No AIDS mortality

17.0

13.1

8.9

are infected, and 3 to 6 percent

of rural adults may be infected

Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census, International Programs Center, unpublished

(Bureau of the Census, 1994).

tables, 1995.

By the turn of the century, the

Population Trends - Tanzania - Bureau Of The Census - 1995

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