Problems Probability Models Worksheets Page 11

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33. A streak like this is not unusual. The probability that he makes 4 in a row with a 55% free throw percentage is
(0.55)(0.55)(0.55)(0.55) ≈ 0.09. We can expect this to happen nearly one in ten times for every set of 4 shots that he makes. One
out of ten times is not that unusual.
34. A streak like this is not unusual. The probability that she makes 6 consecutive bulls-eyes with an 80% bulls-eye percentage is
(0.8)(0.8)(0.8)(0.8)(0.8) ≈ 0.26. If she were to shoot several flights of 6 arrows, she is expected to get 6 bulls-eyes about 26% of
the time. An event that happens due to chance about one out of four times is not that unusual.

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