Population Trends - Tanzania - Bureau Of The Census

Because of HIV/AIDS, Tanzania’s

Figure 3.

explained most of the rise in the

Percent Distribution of

previously improving trend in

use of modern methods.

Contraceptive Users by

mortality is now projected to have

In 1994, the pill was the most

Method: 1994

reversed its course. In 1995, the

common method, chosen by

estimated life expectancy at birth

Pill 26%

26 percent of users (figure 3),

is already 11 years lower than it

Other

or 297,000 women. Twelve per-

would be without the AIDS impact,

traditional

cent of users relied upon injections

and by 2010 the difference will

22%

in 1994, up from only 3 percent in

be 25 years. Infant mortality,

Calendar/Safe

1992. The calendar rhythm (safe

Ç Ç Ç

É É É É

although still high,would be

period 14%

period) method was the most com-

Ç Ç Ç

É É É É

falling more rapidly if not for the

Female

mon traditional method, chosen by

impact of AIDS. By the year 2010,

sterilization

Ç Ç Ç

É É É É

14 percent of all users.

the infant mortality rate will be

É É É É

IUD 4%

nearly 38 percent higher than the

Education and place of residence

Injection 12%

expected rate if there were no

are two factors closely correlated

Condom 14%

AIDS mortality. Overall, by 2010,

with contraceptive use. Urban

AIDS will more than double the

women, with 28 percent users, are

major factors responsible for this

crude death rate; and of the popu-

twice as likely to use contraception

fertility decline.

lation that would have been ex-

as rural women. Educational level

pected in 2010, over 8 million

Between early 1992 and

is an even stronger predictor of

people will be missing.

mid–1994, the contraceptive prev-

family planning: 40 percent of

alence rate (CPR) almost doubled,

women with secondary or more

Figure 2.

and the estimated number of

education used contraception

Percent of All Women

women using contraception

compared with 11 percent of

Ages 15 to 49 Using

increased from 562,000 to

women with no formal education.

Contraception, by Method

1,142,000. According to the

While these factors are not likely

1991/92

1994 Tanzani a K nowledge ,

to have significantly affected

1994

Attitude , a n d P ractice s S urvey

trends in contraceptive use over

(TKAPS), 17.8 percent of all Tan-

the comparatively short period of

zanian women ages 15 to 49 were

1992 through 1994, they are im-

using a contraceptive method in

portant in predicting longer term

1994 (figure 2). This compares

trends (see below for discussion

with only 9.5 percent of all women

of literacy and urbanization).

using contraception in 1992

Despite recent increases in contra-

(TBOS and MII, 1995). Modern

ceptive prevalence, the 1994

methods accounted for nearly two-

TKAPS information on future fertil-

thirds of the increase in contracep-

ity preferences, asked of married

tive prevalence. Increased use of

women only, indicates a large pool

the pill, injections, and condoms

of potential users

whose family planning

Modern

Traditional

All methods

Figure 4.

methods

needs are not met.

Fertility Preference of Currently

Sixty-three percent of

Married Women Ages 15 to 49: 1994

married women indi-

Fertility and Contraceptive

cated a desire to either

Prevalence

Have another, undecided

terminate childbearing

when 1.9%

In 1992, Tanzania formulated a

or space their next birth

Undecided 5.8%

population policy that emphasized

(figure 4). After exclud-

É É

Want no more 22.5%

regulated population growth, and

ing those who were in-

É É

efforts appear to be succeeding.

fecund or already us-

É É

The total fertility rate (TFR), which

ers, 27 percent of

Sterilized 2.0%

was estimated at nearly 7 children

É É É É

currently married

É É

Declared infecund 2.8%

per woman in the 1970’s and early

women, or 1.1 million,

Missing 0.4%

É É É É

1980’s, is now estimated at 5.8

had unmet need for

Have another soon 24.0%

É É É É

children per woman. Rising age

family planning. Like

at marriage and, recently, more

É É É É

most other African

Have another later 40.6%

use of family planning are the

countries, unmet need

Population Trends - Tanzania - Bureau Of The Census - 1995 Page 2

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