Evaluation Plan Guidance Page 28

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EVALUATION PLAN GUIDANCE
SOCIAL INNOVATION FUND
participants complete surveys, will project staff maintain records that will be used, or will administrative data
such as academic transcripts be used? It is likely that some combination of efforts will be required to capture
all the data the measures warrant.
The way in which data are collected may not be identical for both program participants and control or
comparison group members, but ideally the same data will be collected across both groups. Indicate any
differences in data collection between the two groups, including sources, means of data collection, and who
will collect the data.
Finally, include a timeline outlining the data to be collected at various points (for example, what data are
collected prior to program participation, during, and after). Indicate expected sample sizes at various points in
time in the data collection process.
Statistical Analysis of Impacts
To ensure the strongest possible evidence results from the evaluation, the correct statistical analysis techniques
must be employed. The statistical technique chosen will depend on the types of research questions and
outcomes or impacts specified in the research design; they will also depend on the type(s) and quantity of data
collected. For example:
Studies that collect data across time will need to use statistical models that are appropriate for such
data (e.g., fixed effects models);
Research designs with comparison groups may need to statistically control for attributes of group
members (e.g., regression models); and
Designs that involve nested data, such as students within classrooms will need models that handle that
type of interaction (e.g., hierarchical linear models).
Different types of data will also necessitate different statistical models. For example, determining if someone
uses more or less service after program participation implies that the outcome
measure varies along a continuous spectrum (i.e., number of visits or service
Additional Resources
utilizations). This type of question would require the use of a model that fits
See Schochet and Chiang
this type of data and that can also adequately take into account other factors
(2009) for information on
besides program participation (ideally) to ascertain the impact of program
causal inference and
participation on the number of visits (e.g., a linear
regression
or related
instrumental variables
model). Conversely, if the outcome of interest is whether or not a student
framework in TOT
enrolled in college, the outcome has only two categories (enrolled or did not
randomized clinical trials.
enroll), and the statistical model must be appropriate for that type of
categorical data (e.g., a logistic regression or related model).
More details on specific, commonly used statistical models are detailed in Table 1 in Appendix C (Examples
and Templates) of this document.
Intent to Treat (ITT) and Treatment on Treated (TOT) Analysis Frameworks
Two main perspectives exist for guiding analysis in evaluations. If the proposed study has a randomized
between-groups design, an
intent-to-treat
(ITT) framework is suggested (though not required). This
framework starts with the premise that analytically, evaluators are assessing outcomes based on program
components rather than participant experience. This framework is useful because it (1) requires the evaluator
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