Multi-Year Analysis Plan Page 43
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80The Upgrading Pyrolysis Oils study at PNNL will continue to have an analysis task in FY05 as part of the
IEA Bioenergy Pyrolysis Task (to be completed over the next 3 years). The Chemcad based flowsheet
model and Excel based economics spreadsheet developed this year for the hydrogenation of the bio-oil to
fuels and chemicals will be expanded to incorporate new chemical products into the product slate with the
fuels.
3.5 Program Analysis
The overall goal of analysis in the program management area is to provide crosscutting analysis for
program management and support and information for EERE analysis. The analysis in program
management provides information to benefits analysis, direction for the program and engineering
knowledge for biorefinery development.
Two work areas were determined to be necessary for program analysis but are not planned because the
specific needs of PBA are not known at this time – 1) option analysis and 2) end outcome selection. PBA
is currently determining how to estimate and report end outcomes of option analysis. Most likely, OBP
will be able to use most of the same outputs for option analysis as are used for expected prospective
analysis; however, additional benefit model runs will be necessary. Therefore, OBP needs budget money
for those additional runs in FY05 and beyond. After FY05, PBA may also develop additional modeling
needs for options analysis that are currently undefined. Due to the lack of definition of the work in this
area, a project could not be well defined and was not included in the project descriptions.
End outcome selection is currently being led by PBA. As stated in section 4.1.1, the Biomass Program
needs to play a role in selecting the economic, environmental, and security criteria so that its unique
benefits are included in the ultimate criteria. This role is best filled by OBP management at the DOE
headquarters building and should not be considered a separate project; however, it is an essential
responsibility.
3.5.1 HQ/Field Managed Analysis (Andress & Associates (DAA), ANL, Jerry Hadder,
ORNL, TMS, University of CA, University of TN)
No MYTP write-up was available for the HQ/Field Managed Analysis project, so the submission for the
FY05 Annual Operating Plan was used. In general, projects in this area should provide input and support
to EERE analysis - input to the NEMS and MARKAL models in the form of market data, and runs on
both models for PBA budget and benefits reporting.
3.5.1.1 Renewable Fuels Standard (RFS) and other Biomass Policy Studies (ORNL, Hadder, DAA,
TMS)
Analysis Plan
Conduct analysis in coordination with other DOE organizations in support of RFS implementation such
as analysis of state waiver requests. If alternative biomass policies are contemplated by Congress or the
Administration, conduct appropriate studies as needed. Studies may use refinery models and biomass
market models or other tools.
3.5.1.2/3.5.1.3 Biomass Data and Models, Analyses, and Studies (ORNL, DAA, TMS, University of
TN, Hadder)
Analysis Plan
Conduct analysis of market characteristics for biofuels and other bio-based products, transition pathways
to a hydrogen/alternative fuels economy, and other studies as requested by DOE. Provide analytical input
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