Multi-Year Analysis Plan Page 7

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Role of Analysis in EERE
Figure 1 shows the hierarchy of the Program’s goals, including goals for each section of the
portfolio.
Figure 1: Biomass Program Goals
The U.S. Department of Energy’s (DOE’s) office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy
(EERE) has strategic goals of reducing foreign oil imports and creating a domestic bioindustry.
To achieve those goals, EERE needs OBP to meet feedstock, sugar, thermochemical, and
products goals; however, these goals are too qualitative to manage a research portfolio.
Analysis allows OBP to set targets that quantify the goals by using system models to predict the
cost reductions from R&D advancements. OBP’s targets include the following cost goals:
1. Reduce biomass harvesting and storage cost so that the delivered cost of wheat straw and
corn stover will be reduced from $53 per dry ton in 2003 to $38 per dry ton biomass by
2015.
2. Reduce the estimated cost for production of a cleaned and reformed biomass-derived
synthesis gas produced from a mature gasification plant, from $6.48 per million Btu
($6.14 per GJ) in 2003 to $5.28 per million Btu ($5.01 per GJ) by 2010. Both the current
and target syngas cost assume $30 per dry ton wood feedstock cost.
3. Reduce the estimated cost for production of a mixed, dilute sugar stream suitable for
fermentation to ethanol, from 15 cents per pound in 2003 to 10 cents per pound by 2010.
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