Multi-Year Analysis Plan Page 56
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80Since the expected prospective analysis has been calculated historically it is the highest priority for
EERE. Option analysis is the medium priority because it should require little extra effort from OBP.
Retrospective analysis has not been well defined at this time so it is the lowest priority timeframe.
Criteria categories
The benefits or end outcomes that EERE reviews and reports are broken into four categories:
1. economic (e.g., energy cost savings),
2. environmental (e.g., reduction in emissions),
3. security (e.g., reductions in imported petroleum), and
4. knowledge (e.g., increases in fundamental knowledge useful for society).
PBA is currently in the process of determining which end outcomes will be used for selection and
reporting. Different technologies address different issues, providing improvements that they want
reported as end outcomes. For example, some technologies improve power grid security by increasing the
distribution of electricity production. On the other hand, OBP projects can reduce the amount of imported
oil used for transportation. Because different technologies have different needs, OBP needs to play a role
in determining the outcomes reported.
PBA is leading the effort to determine the security, environment, and economic benefits. The knowledge
criteria will not be included in the near future but EERE may eventually use the benefits that are being
developed by DOE’s Office of Science. The OBP needs to play a role in selecting the economic,
environmental, and security criteria so that its unique benefits are included in the ultimate criteria. Those
unique benefits are primarily due to the material nature of biomass. It is more efficient to produce most
solids, liquids, and gases like polymers, transportation fuels, and syngas products from biomass than from
energy forms like sunlight and wind. That uniqueness puts the OBP in an interesting position with regard
to benefits; it is working on products that are more likely to replace crude oil based products than the
other programs in EERE.
Currently, the benefits list is only for the expected prospective case. It does a good job of presenting the
benefits of the Biomass Program by reporting cellulosic ethanol and oil savings as 2 of the 8 reported
benefits in the 2005 budget. The following is a complete list of reported benefits:
•
Electricity capacity (gigawatts)
•
Electricity generation (billion kWh)
•
Cellulosic ethanol production (billion gallons)
•
Non-renewable energy savings (quads)
•
Oil savings (quads)
•
Carbon savings (million metric tons – MMT)
•
Energy expenditure savings (billions $ in year 2000$)
The criteria reported in the budget were not broken into categories; however, other criteria were included
in the GPRA data call, broken into the four categories listed above. The categories and criteria listed in
the GPRA data call are:
•
Economic
o Energy cost savings (millions $)
o Non-energy cost savings (millions $)
o Net economic benefit (millions $)
•
Environmental
o Emission reductions (MMT carbon, NO
, SO
, PM, VOCs, CO)
x
x
52
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Parent category: Education