Multi-Year Analysis Plan Page 46
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80•
Estimate a national bioenergy and bioproducts demand for agricultural feedstock, the agricultural
resources demanded, and the price and income impacts on the agricultural sector using the USDA
model POLYSYS.
•
Document results in annual status report and final report
3.5.2 National Laboratory Crosscutting Analysis (NREL)
Analysis Objectives
•
To integrate the results of platform analysis into biorefinery process designs and an optimization
program
•
To assess emerging technologies that are not currently part of a research platform but have
potential to improve biomass utilization.
•
To develop advanced methods, tools, and partnerships, improving analysis value and efficiency.
This evolving analysis infrastructure supports platform analysis and industry-led projects.
Analysis Status
Past crosscutting analysis projects have covered work in areas that do not easily fit into a single research
project. The majority of process engineering and analysis is performed as part of the research platforms;
refer to the specific platform analysis projects for details. The integrated engineering and analysis team
performs crosscutting analysis that benefits multiple OBP projects and external collaborators, and
provides direction and focus to the overall research program by evaluating the technical, economic, and
environmental aspects of biomass utilization via integrated pathways. This analysis project also provides
quantifiable measures of success towards OBP’s goals and is a part of the multi-year analysis plan
(MYAP) for OBP and its EERE analysis activities. With the creation of the NBC, this project will
become even more crosscutting, including input from multiple labs performing core R&D in the program.
Analysis Plan
With the increasing emphasis on analysis driven goals in EERE, this project is undergoing a change in
FY05 to address the higher level analysis required to help the biomass program respond to EERE. The
project is being expanded starting in FY05 to address not only the need for crosscutting analysis across
the biomass platforms, but of a strategic analysis aimed at building and communicating a long term vision
of the biomass industry as source of energy and products via a consolidated and quantitative set of
analyses. Within this long-term vision is:
1. A definitive snapshot of progress toward Program goals and remaining hurdles
2. The benefits of biomass technology as part of a sustainable energy future
3. Possible pathways toward the Program’s long term vision from which Congressionally required
milestones and goals can be built based on rational “best guesses” about the dynamics of
technology development, investment and deployment
Biorefinery process design and optimization
With the integration of the former biopower and biofuels programs and the efforts in identifying
candidate products from biomass, we now have the information in one place to develop emerging and
advanced biorefinery process designs for plants producing a combination of power, fuels, and chemicals.
The Biomass program is currently working with existing biorefineries (dry mills, wet mills). A stage 1
analysis using products with relative values based on a primary product (e.g. ethanol) will be performed
first to understand the sensitivity of market value and size on the product slate. Then 4-5 emerging
biorefinery process designs with integrated heat and power utilization will be developed, using the
information from all platforms and the feedstock interface program. Mass and energy balances will be
developed along with capital and operating cost estimates at a stage 2 level of analysis. Modules for
syngas production and use will be added to BioRefine, a spreadsheet based linear program that currently
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